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Calmer Sun Predicted for Several Years May 15, 2009
Image of the sun
Sunspots from the next solar cycle can be seen in the northern hemisphere of the Sun on May 14.
The sun’s sluggish progress into a new 11-year cycle of sunspot activity indicates that the new cycle is likely to be the weakest since 1928, according to a panel of international experts.

The delayed onset of Solar Cycle 24 over the past year stymied the group of solar physicists as sunspots from the previous cycle recently appeared long after some associated with the new cycle had emerged.

The panel now expects solar activity to peak about a year late in May 2013, when Earth’s star will sport an average of about 90 sunspots each day.

Even with a relatively mild period of solar activity, large solar flares and accompanying geomagnetic storms could still occur with enough force to knock out power grids and Earth-orbiting satellites, the scientists cautioned.

“If there are fewer storms, they could still be just as intense,” said panel chair Doug Biesecker of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Space Weather Prediction Center in Boulder, Colorado.

Solar image: Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO)